The 2012 presidential race is already in a craze of trying to find who will oppose President Obama. First, Sarah Palin was anointed, but she decided it was more profitable to be indecisive. Next, Mitt Romney used his business and experience as governor of Massachusetts to become the frontrunner. Questions of his policies of health care drove factions of the party away from him. Michelle Bachmann became a frontrunner shortly after winning the Iowa Straw Poll. Once people started realizing how crazy she was they decided to search for someone else. Then, Governor Rick Perry of Texas came bashing in with his prayer fest, but he got derailed for his lax views on immigration. Now, several Republicans are looking towards the governor of our state, Chris Christie, as the anointed leader who will put the Republicans back into the White House.
Our governor has made a name for himself: confronting powerful unions, pension reform, and his confrontational approach. Many see this as the perfect combatant against President Obama’s relaxed style. Despite many pleas from donors, and the common folk, Christie’s reply has been no.
While I do not approve of many of the governor’s policies, I do see him as a viable candidate for president, but not for this election. The current political structure is set up to destroy any chance of running a successful campaign so late. Here are some major obstacles Christie would have to overcome to have a chance at winning:
Time: This is the main hindrance that all others branch from. Unlike several nations that only allow weeks for campaigning, American politics have almost become a perpetual campaign. All of the major candidates, excluding Rick Perry, have 3-4 months head starts over him. He would need to do some serious catch up to organize a campaign to be near their competition level.
Campaign Team: Since he has been so adamant about not running for president, Governor Christie does not have a team set up to run a national campaign. His previous campaign depended heavily on speaking little on his own policies, and demonizing an already unpopular incumbent, Jon Corzine. While President Obama is not popular either, campaigning against him will not be the same as Ford vs. Carter where the country wanted anything but someone from the Nixon administration.
Lack of national exposure: While YouTube videos of his town hall meetings are popular on the internet, they perpetuate the image of a thug. This would need to be refined a touch so he can still seem tough, but not overbearing. It works now because he is responsible as less than a president. He can remain confrontational, but should also present himself as someone whom one can engage, debate, and compromise with when possible. A main reason there is no clear cut frontrunner for the GOP is because the past 3 years have been mired with stalling tactics, political brinksmanship, unprecedented filibuster rates, and being a party of NO.
What I propose for Governor Christie if he truly wants to run for president is eye the 2016 election. He could establish a campaign that is properly financed, well organized, and prepared for a campaign. He would also have more time to present himself on the national stage as a candidate who can keep his party in check with him, but also not isolate the opposition. Another positive for waiting would be fulfilling the term he was elected for to begin with, being governor of New Jersey. It would be a positive image showing that he finishes what he starts, and he can use his experience as a positive, whereas other governors who campaign for a higher office while under term, cannot use it to their advantage. So while the time may seem ripe now, it would be best for Governor Christie to wait to see if he really wants the presidency.
First off, sorry for the delay in posts. Things haven’t been ideal and I spent more time stressed out about other things, but I will try my best to be dedicated to offering viewpoints that aren’t provided by propaganda machines.
Our republic is broken. While the democratic process has never been one of streamlined harmony, battle lines are being drawn on every issue and compromise becomes synonymous for defeat. Instead of keeping the interests of the republic first, our elected officials squabble for self preservation and self interests. While the talking heads spew out viewpoints to continue to polarize the people, our republic rests at a fork in the road of its fate.
I know this is repetitive from my previous post with the theory of history repeating itself. Of course there is the famous quote from George Santayna of those who do not learn from history are condemned to repeat it, but many historians like to theorize that history is of unique events. I like to believe that yes situations are unique, but they share the similarities of human nature. While our society contrasts differently with those of the past, the personalities of those who ruled and were ruled remains the same. Even Rome stood at this crisis in the waning days of its republic.
Popular notion decries that it was Julius Caesar’s dictatorship that killed the Roman Republic, its death was done a generation earlier. Through its unchallenged position as a regional power, and the ensuing political deadlock brought upon the end of democratic rule until the Renaissance.
In the first century BC, the Roman Republic was the lone power in the Mediterranean basin, and struggling with its changed role in the world. Territorial expansion flooded the Roman economy with a surplus of slaves, which took away the jobs from the lower class Roman citizen called plebeians. Through their sources of power in the government, the people’s assemblies, the tribunate, and their allies within the Senate Marius and Cinna, they presented their political power of extension of citizenship, subsidized food for the urban poor, and limiting slavery. This political faction became known as the populares.
They were opposed by the optimates, the wealthy elite in the Senate championed by Lucius Cornelius Sulla. They wanted to maintain a strong Senate to keep the plebeians and the new elites in check to their established power, and preserve their power accrued from their noble births. They had done so with success throughout the history of the Republic, including such famous generals of Scipio Africanus, defeater of Hannibal. However, popular sentiment was going against them through the populares legislation, and ambitious generals such as Marius using their newfound wealth for the people such as buying land for veterans, public sporting events, and other populist moves.
These factions unlike modern political parties were not unified under an ethos. They served as as individual alliances for self preservation. Individuals often changed sides to be on the winning one or the one that promised more gain, or who was in command of the legions.
Tensions erupted over the Senate’s appointment of Sulla to command Roman forces in the east. Marius wanted it for his last bid of glory so he convinced tribune Publius Sulpicius Rufus to have the tribunes revoke Sulla’s command, and removed his supporters from the Senate. Sulla managed to escape to his troops ecamped in Southern Italy after pleaing for an end to the violence fell on deaf ears. He then began a campaign no other Roman officer did He marched upon Rome. Sulla’s forces easily defeated those of Marius and Cinna, but they managed to escape his wrath. After consolidating the senate and regaining his command, Sulla went East.
Marius and Cinna managed again to kill Sulla’s supporters in the Senate, stripped him of his command, and began marshalling forces to eliminate him. Fortunately for Sulla, Marius died of old age and Cinna was killed by his own troops while on the march. Sulla convinced troops loyal to Cinna to join his side, and after finishing his campaigns in the East went back to march on Rome for a second time, and this time he did not leave.
After defeating the remnants of Cinna’s and Marius’s forces, Sulla was appointed Dictator for the making of laws and for the settling of the constitution. What made it controversial was instead of being a traditional republican dictator, an appointment of 6 months when the republic was in dire straits, Sulla was appointed for an unlimited term. His first step was purging his enemies from power. He had his enemies and even minute supporters executed, their property confiscated and auctioned, and banned their family members from serving in the government for 30 years. He then expanded the power of the Senate by increasing membership and responsibilities and stripping the Tribune, the bastion of the plebeians, of any real power. Once is policies were entrenched, he resigned from dictatorship and the Republic limped on for another 40 years. While our ambitious politicians do not have as much influence as their Roman counterparts, they created a paradox where either side is fighting to “save” the republic from the enemies of the opposition.
While our leaders do not wield the direct power as their Roman counterparts did, they have set up a similar situation. While more organized as political factions, American political parties still remain people with personal ambition willing to do anything to maintain and grow their power. On one side we have the conservative Republican party. who believe in order to save the country, more power should be placed in the wealthy minority, and that there should be less regulation against their actions. On the other the liberal Democrats stand for the masses where the wealthy should be curbed and more should be given to the middle class and the poor by means of social and welfare programs. Since the post World War II era, these two factions remained in relative balance until recessions in the 1970’s. Since then, both sides have been jockeying for control of how to divide the country.
Our republic is at a crossroads, a hyper-power struggling to cope with other powers rising to shrink its dominance on a global scale. Decades of wreckless political, economic, and social policies have finally caught up to place the United States behind most developed nations in health care, education, and infrastructure. Instead of rising to the occasion to tackle these issues in a responsible manner, the political process has devolved into every issue becoming brinksmanship. The past year has seen two 11th hour deals to prevent federal government shutdown and default. Multiple states have shutdown or had the political process severely compromised. How much of this strife can our republic handle before our political parties start taking the actions that Marius and Sulla did? While they preached to save to republic, they actually set the stage for the republic to devolve into an empire. If they, both our ancient and contemporary politicians truly wanted to save their republics, egos would have to be put aside and do actions to resolve standing issues where their republics were better off for the long run.
A common fear repeated from conservative American politicians and pundits is the fear of their beloved country becoming like France. France is their poster child for the welfare state nightmare: powerful centralized government, public health care, and high taxes. Fortunately for them, we are not heading in that direction. Instead, we are becoming more like France before the 1789 revolution. Where l’ancien regime maintained a society where the rich benefitted from the state, but contributed little to its functions.
That France was a kingdom where the people were divided into three groups called estates. The first estate consisted of the Catholic clergy, the second was the nobility, and the third was everybody else. Breaking down the numbers, the first estate was 0.5% of the population, the second 1.5%, and the third 98% of a population of 27 million by 1789.
Despite their small numbers, the first two estates held a choking grip on the wealth of the kingdom. The clergy and nobility owned 40% of the land, and held all important government positions. The only way into this elite realm was buying a title of nobility from the king, being born into a noble family where one would either inherit the title, or being appointed to the clergy. The best part to their special status was exemption from paying any taxes. So the burden for maintaining the state fell onto the burdening bourgeois, tradesmen, and peasants.
At the same time, the government was on a spending spree. A series of global wars drained the treasury dry. Also, the nobility maintained lavish lifestyles that outpaced their incomes. The government entered a debt crisis. The king continued to appoint finance ministers that fought for a revision of the tax code that would force the clergy and nobility to pay taxes. Instead of making the sacrifice for their kingdom, they bogged the government down by refusing to cave into demands to give up their status.
Sound familiar? The top 1% of income earners in the United States has been on the warpath to create l’ancien regime here. As of 2007 they controlled over 34% of the wealth in the United States, the next nineteen percent of wage earners control 50%. This leaves the majority of working class Americans with only 15% of the wealth in the country.
While the American aristocracy does not have tax exemption status like their French predecessors, they do not pay their equal share. In a comparison of wage earners and their percentage of taxes paid, the bottom fifteen percent pays 16% income tax while the top one percent pays 30.8%. They also use several loopholes to avoid paying that much in taxes, so the true number remains unknown.
Like France, we have a government that has record deficits fueled by costly wars. Politics are in crisis because the debt is out of control. President Obama appointed a bi-partisan commission to overlook a long-term strategy to work towards bringing the debt in check. The commission published their report that called for cuts in several programs with runaway budgets, the end lower taxes on the rich, and the end to loopholes that the rich exploited to pay fewer taxes.
The American Aristocracy fought back. Instead of losing their lower taxes, they want to place a bigger burden on lower wage earners by cutting education, infrastructure, housing subsidies, food stamps, and every other welfare program that does not involve them. The members of the commission blasted back at the rich by stating their cuts would nothing in comparison the cuts to their programs and their tax hikes.So far none of the commission’s proposals have been pursued by congress or the president.
The government had a chance to put the rich in check with the expiration of tax cuts initiated by President Bush. Instead of forcing it down their throats, the administration gave in for the sake of continuing to spend on programs that the government does not have money for. If this is the sign of how we are going to resolve the debt crisis, things do not look well for our government.
The French nobility maintained their stranglehold on the kingdom until the third estate realized their power. In July 1789 the people revolted against l’ancien regime. The third estate set about forming a constitution to bring about liberty, equality, and fraternity for the people. If our government continues letting the rich dictate fiscal policy, it will go down the same path. We do have a third estate, and it is gaining momentum with each call to help the rich when they have suffered so much for the rich already. So to the conservatives of the United States I say, “Bienvenue en France.”
*This week’s post is going to deal with local issues.
New Jersey governor and Republican darling Chris Christie portrays himself as the one willing to make the Draconian measures to save the state. One example of this was the cancelation of an overpriced and behind schedule tunnel project to New York City. However, last week he was in Atlantic City promoting bills that would approve mass revitalization projects there. These actions show the true nature of Governor Christie of being a typical Republican by using government money to help the wealthy over the common good.
Atlantic City was once America’s playground. People from around the country came to the city for strolls along the boardwalk, enjoy the beach, or several other activities of the more decadent nature dramatized in the recent television series Boardwalk Empire. After the Second World War with white flight in full swing, the city lost most of its allure. The grand hotels were empty, and the city crumbled. Crime rates and poverty increased. In the 1970’s, the state voted to legalize gambling, and casino projects began in Atlantic City as a means to revitalize it. The city saw huge revenues throughout the years while it was the Las Vegas of the East. It seemed that the city was making a comeback to its glory days.
Then nearby states began building their own casinos. Fewer people started coming to Atlantic City. So what was the solution? Build more casinos of course. A new phase of high-end casinos such as the Borgata started the new phase of casinos in the city. The economic crisis came about and has put a block on several new projects. The most high profile is the Revel casino with its proposed site along the boardwalk halted. Enter Governor Christie to save the Boardwalk Empire once again.
The state’s solution: give the Revel group over $260 million dollars to secure the loans to finish construction, the creation of a tourism district in the city, and giving the Casino Reinvestment Development Authority over this tourism district. Many in the state government believe this will be a new beginning for the city. While this will help in streamlining the political system in the city, the reality is that it’s only serving the casinos that do not deserve a penny for their reckless business practices.
Atlantic City had several years of monopoly on East coast gambling. That was more than enough time and money to revitalize the city. Those in power decided to line their pockets instead. Instead of fostering other businesses not associated with gambling into the city, the casinos and their political allies pressured them out of town. A perfect monument to these practices can be seen at the crumbling Sandcastle Stadium. The casinos wanted to be the only show in town, and as long as the revenues kept coming in, nobody cared. The addition of new casinos will only siphon off the shrinking market because why would people come to Atlantic City to gamble when there are casinos closer to home?
The new legislation fails to address the problems within Atlantic City proper. High crime rates, crumbling infrastructure, failing schools, laying off police officers, and poor housing conditions are other reasons why fewer people go to Atlantic City. The tourism district will only help isolate the community more from the casinos. There are neighborhoods that have not seen any of the effects from the initial casino boom, so why should we expect them to see anything from this legislation? The mayor of Atlantic City had it right when he said the new legislation would resemble apartheid conditions. This legislation was created and passed without consent from the city. How come the residents of Atlantic City did have a voice on revitalizing their community? They should be the ones benefitting the most from this endeavor, but instead are kept out of the democratic process.
Why is the CRDA, a political entity responsible for the dilapidated state of the city, awarded control over the tourism district? The age of bailouts has thrown logic out the window. In a normal business, when employees display incompetence they are fired or have their role in the company diminished. Now as long as you’re rich, if you display incompetence the government will bail you out because your dire warnings of the ramifications if you go out of business. Meanwhile the middle class and poor continue to suffer with their complaints unanswered. Cities such as Camden, Newark, and Trenton continue to have long-term problems like Atlantic City. Has Governor Christie come to their rescue? No. Instead, he blames their public unions to blame for the state’s dire conditions.
The state tried to save Atlantic City once, and it failed. Until there is a movement that will work to progress all of Atlantic City, America’s Playground will remain a shadow of its former self. Governor Christie can use this money for much better purposes than helping out casinos that are suffering from a city economy they created.
*Disclaimer:As events unfold some information between now and when this piece was written may have changed.
The Middle East is alive with revolution.The overthrow of Tunisian President Ben Ali has spread unrest across the region.Egypt is in the midst of mass protests demanding the removal of president Mubarak, while he attempts to crackdown on protestors.Others nations such has Yemen, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia have also witnessed protests against their governments.The people are demanding the end to the autocracies that rule their countries, and the establishment of democratic government and individual freedoms in their countries.While unprecedented in this region, widespread revolutions in such a short period of time is not unique to history.
In 1848, the overthrow of King Louis Philippe of France sparked uprisings across Europe.Almost every country except the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and Russia witnessed popular uprisings against their governments.These people protested for similar reasons as those today.Poor economic conditions and governments out of touch with the people inspired the citizens to make change in the streets.The French wanted to return to a government free of monarchy, a republic.Germans, Italians, Czechs, Slovaks, Poles, Magyars, and others fought to overthrow the autocratic rulers in Prussia, Austria, and the several scattered city-states to create democratic nation states.They all had initial successes.The French established a provisional government to create the 2nd French Republic.German leaders permitted concessions for elections, freedoms of speech and the press, and established the Frankfurt Assembly that would bring about a unified German republic.Austrians forced the emperor to dismiss chancellor Prince Klemens Von Metternich, a highly unpopular figure and symbol of the autocratic oppression in the empire.Several nationalist groups established provisional governments in their respective areas following this.Yet with all the hope that went across the continent, these initial victories were short lived.
One by one each revolution failed to achieve their ultimate goals.Either from foreign aid or their cunning, conservative forces destroyed these uprisings and returned to power.France managed to establish a republic, but elections produced a conservative government led by president Louis Napoleon, nephew of Napoleon Bonaparte.In the German nations, republican forces grew divided over individual goals and caused political gridlock.This allowed monarchist forces to regroup and crush the opposition.In Austria, the nationalist forces became divided like their German contemporaries, but Austria required Russian troops to assist in the crackdown.The conservative forces survived the revolutions of 1848 with more power than before.
The people in revolt now must learn from the errors from the European revolts or they will suffer the same fates as them.Democracy does not come about with overthrowing an autocrat.The nations in revolt, like those in 1848, have little to no experience with democratic government.They need to learn that plurality and compromising will be needed amongst their diverse factions to foster democracy.The 1848 revolutions did not and it allowed their oppressors to regroup.Individualist goals must be put aside for national unity.Autocratic forces will find weaknesses to divide the people, making it easier to crush the opposition.They also cannot let their revolutions descend into chaos.Once that happens, the moderate majorities of these uprisings will welcome back a political strongman to restore security over idealism.Outsiders should not influence these internal issues. Furthermore, action must be made against the reasons the people revolted in the first place.They went out due to unemployment, political corruption, and rising costs of living.If the future governments of nations in revolt do not address these problems, they will be overthrown like their predecessors.As Otto von Bismarck, Prussian chancellor and architect of German unification said, “not through speeches and majority decisions will the great questions of the day be decided—that was the great mistake of 1848 and 1849—but by iron and blood.”
While he spoke of German unification, the principle remains true for those in revolt.The decrees and promises that future governments will mean nothing unless backed up with actions.The educated populations will need jobs, money, and a voice in government.They need to be wary of old opposition groups and leaders.They may cherish the principles of democracy now, but they are one step away from implementing a new autocratic regime, such as Louis Napoleon.Near the end of his term as president, he dissolved the republic and proclaimed himself emperor.As events unfold in the region, one can only hope the people will fulfill their ideals and not fail like those in 1848.
Picture a bright blue ball, just spinning, spinnin free, Dizzy with eternity. Paint it with a skin of sky, Brush in some clouds and sea, Call it home for you and me. A peaceful place or so it looks from space, A closer look reveals the human race. Full of hope, full of grace Is the human face, But afraid we may lay our home to waste.
There’s a fear down here we can’t forget. Hasn’t got a name just yet. Always awake, always around, Singing ashes, ashes, all fall down. Ashes, ashes, all fall down.
Now watch as the ball revolves And the nighttime falls. Again the hunt begins, Again the bloodwind calls. By and by, the morning sun will rise, But the darkness never goes From some men’s eyes. It strolls the sidewalks and it rolls the streets, Staking turf, dividing up meat. Nightmare spook, piece of heat, It’s you and me. You and me.
Click flash blade in ghetto night, Rudies looking for a fight. Rat cat alley, roll them bones. Need that cash to feed that jones. And the politicians throwin’ stones, Singing ashes, ashes, all fall down. Ashes, ashes, all fall down.
[Bridge:] Commissars and pin-stripe bosses Roll the dice. Any way they fall, Guess who gets to pay the price. Money green or proletarian gray, Selling guns ‘stead of food today.
So the kids they dance And shake their bones, And the politicians throwin’ stones, Singing ashes, ashes, all fall down. Ashes, ashes, all fall down.
If the game is lost, Then we’re all the same. No one left to place or take the blame. We can leave this place and empty stone Or that shinin’ ball we used to call our home.
So the kids they dance And shake their bones, And the politicians throwin’ stones, Singing ashes, ashes, all fall down. Ashes, ashes, all fall down.
[Bridge two:] Shipping powders back and forth Singing black goes south and white comes north. In a whole world full of petty wars Singing I got mine and you got yours. And the current fashion sets the pace, Lose your step, fall out of grace. And the radical, he rant and rage, Singing someone’s got to turn the page. And the rich man in his summer home, Singing just leave well enough alone. But his pants are down, his cover’s blown…
And the politicians throwin’ stones, So the kids they dance And shake their bones, And it’s all too clear we’re on our own. Singing ashes, ashes, all fall down. Ashes, ashes, all fall down.
Picture a bright blue ball, Just spinnin’, spinnin, free. Dizzy with the possibilities. Ashes, ashes, all fall down. Ashes, ashes, all fall down. Ashes, ashes, all fall down. Ashes, ashes, all fall down. Ashes, ashes, all fall down.
For years I have tried avoiding you because of the preconceived futility of it. Why would my opinion matter in the cacophony of the information age where any scrap of information considered news is carved up in microseconds? That was how I thought until a few weeks ago. We cannot sit and let others manufacture our opinions. We need to see the facts for ourselves and enter a dialogue as an aware citizenry. Will this blog mean much? I doubt it, but it takes individuals to make steps towards progress. Don’t worry, this won’t always be a lecture. I hope this endeavor will be rewarding for us. I leave you with a song whose lyrics resonate today and given the title to this blog. I look forward to our collaboration.